Little math problem. I’ll fix it soon. EDIT: I have now switched these to being based on a much more accurate player rating, RAPM via http://stats-for-the-nba.appspot.com I’ve made Free Agency ratings for each signing and team. These ratings are based on a few things: First, Production ($). This refers to the estimated value of a player’s Wins Above Replacement, which is based off my limited, but useful SPR rating. The basic math (which is somewhat based on the CBA) is roughly: $1.5 million x WARP + $1 million = Production $. Some issues with this are: 1) A player’s WARP will be diminished if they are injured 2) SPR ratings are not great at measuring defense The latter I don’t have a quick fix for. The former, I made a quick adjustment to. A player’s initial value is multiplied up to 68*** games (i.e. if a player’s production was $1 million and they played 34 games, their injury-adjusted production would be $2 million). If they played more than 68 games, they got full credit for that # of games played. Here are the best deals so far, followed by each team’s gained/lost value (measured by the “Difference” column in the first table). *Please note that this does not include any player whose terms are not listed on Basketball Reference’s free agency tracker (I know Manu, for example, isn’t on here)*
Player
OTm
NTm
2012 Injury-Adjusted Production ($)
Free Agency Signed $ / Year
Diff
Paul Millsap
UTA
ATL
21533840.13
9500000
12033840.13
Andre Iguodala
DEN
GSW
21350126.84
12000000
9350126.84
Jose Calderon
DET
DAL
16254169.95
7250000
9004169.954
Al-Farouq Aminu
NOP
NOP
11022611.33
3700000
7322611.329
Devin Harris
ATL
DAL
8802482.295
3000000
5802482.295
Nikola Pekovic
MIN
MIN
11672940.33
6046500
5626440.333
Chris Paul
LAC
LAC
26762960.65
21400000
5362960.654
Matt Barnes
LAC
LAC
9069688.566
3833333.333
5236355.233
David West
IND
IND
17096725.7
12000000
5096725.699
Tiago Splitter
SAS
SAS
13889325.24
9000000
4889325.242
J.R. Smith
NYK
NYK
10850257.13
6175000
4675257.135
Tony Allen
MEM
MEM
9387290.204
5000000
4387290.204
Mike Dunleavy
MIL
CHI
7280329.761
3000000
4280329.761
Josh Smith
ATL
DET
17765109.74
13500000
4265109.742
Mario Chalmers
MIA
MIA
8088888.511
4000000
4088888.511
Kyle Korver
ATL
ATL
9485217.163
6000000
3485217.163
Pablo Prigioni
NYK
NYK
5281693.116
2000000
3281693.116
Josh McRoberts
CHA
CHA
5925759.649
2750000
3175759.649
Dorell Wright
PHI
POR
6119130.344
3000000
3119130.344
Carlos Delfino
HOU
MIL
6214626.451
3250000
2964626.451
Darren Collison
DAL
LAC
4815418.725
1900000
2915418.725
Francisco Garcia
HOU
HOU
3729013.579
1300000
2429013.579
Dwight Howard
LAL
HOU
24287664.47
22000000
2287664.472
Omri Casspi
CLE
HOU
2915467.178
1300000
1615467.178
Jodie Meeks
LAL
LAL
2975483.078
1550000
1425483.078
Chase Budinger
MIN
MIN
6581692.313
5333333.333
1248358.98
Gerald Henderson
CHA
CHA
5384280.989
4200000
1184280.989
Greg Stiemsma
MIN
NOP
3816887.416
2700000
1116887.416
Dante Cunningham
MIN
MIN
3228831.038
2180000
1048831.038
Rashard Lewis
MIA
MIA
2397628.53
1400000
997628.5303
C.J. Watson
BRK
IND
2890695.155
2000000
890695.1553
Kevin Martin
OKC
MIN
8032773.588
7250000
782773.5881
Wayne Ellington
CLE
DAL
3254898.303
2500000
754898.3028
Jeff Teague
ATL
MIL
8603022.747
8000000
603022.7467
Chris Kaman
DAL
LAL
3606845.656
3200000
406845.6565
Ray Allen
MIA
MIA
3583235.199
3200000
383235.1986
Zaza Pachulia
ATL
MIL
5522598.858
5333333.333
189265.5244
O.J. Mayo
DAL
MIL
8158844.751
8000000
158844.7507
Tyler Hansbrough
IND
IND
4238255.5
4150000
88255.5003
Jarrett Jack
GSW
CLE
6290126.604
6250000
40126.60363
Patrick Mills
SAS
SAS
1076270.931
1133950
-57679.06913
Earl Watson
UTA
POR
1271447.862
1400000
-128552.1381
Boris Diaw
SAS
SAS
4422152.922
4702500
-280347.0777
J.J. Hickson
POR
DEN
4525962.224
5000000
-474037.776
Jerryd Bayless
MEM
MEM
2207495.722
3100000
-892504.278
Chris Copeland
NYK
IND
1847691.034
3050000
-1202308.966
Eric Maynor
POR
WAS
709401.2011
2000000
-1290598.799
Aaron Gray
TOR
TOR
1264898.481
2690875
-1425976.519
Al Jefferson
UTA
CHA
11830947.23
13500000
-1669052.773
Ronnie Brewer
OKC
MIN
3319730.452
5000000
-1680269.548
Trevor Ariza
WAS
WAS
6011169.571
7700000
-1688830.429
J.J. Redick
MIL
LAC
4901608.901
6750000
-1848391.099
Randy Foye
UTA
DEN
721589.5014
3000000
-2278410.499
Carl Landry
GSW
SAC
3529099.084
6500000
-2970900.916
Marco Belinelli
CHI
SAS
-596789.6931
3000000
-3596789.693
Shawn Marion
DAL
DAL
5505117.797
9316796
-3811678.203
Marvin Williams
UTA
UTA
3674119.951
7500000
-3825880.049
Tyreke Evans
SAC
NOP
6861293.132
11000000
-4138706.868
Emeka Okafor
WAS
WAS
9848117.628
14487500
-4639382.372
Earl Clark
LAL
CLE
-797022.1262
4500000
-5297022.126
Charlie Villanueva
DET
DET
2911016.137
8580000
-5668983.863
Richard Jefferson
GSW
UTA
1526167.7
11046000
-9519832.3
Ben Gordon
CHA
CHA
-4652922.605
13200000
-17852922.6
Team
Value Change by Not Resigning
Value Change By FA Signing/Resigning
Total
GSW
$12,450,606.61
$9,350,127
$21,800,733.45
LAC
$-
$11,666,344
$11,666,343.51
NYK
$1,202,308.97
$7,956,950
$9,159,259.22
DAL
$(3,481,109.13)
$11,749,872
$8,268,763.22
CHI
$3,596,789.69
$4,280,330
$7,877,119.45
MIN
$(1,116,887.42)
$7,026,134
$5,909,246.97
MIA
$-
$5,469,752
$5,469,752.24
IND
$-
$4,873,367
$4,873,367.39
LAL
$3,009,357.65
$1,832,329
$4,841,686.39
POR
$1,764,636.57
$2,990,578
$4,755,214.78
ATL
$(10,859,880.31)
$15,519,057
$4,659,176.98
NOP
$-
$4,300,792
$4,300,791.88
MEM
$-
$3,494,786
$3,494,785.93
HOU
$(2,964,626.45)
$6,332,145
$3,367,518.78
MIL
$(2,431,938.66)
$3,915,759
$1,483,820.81
SAC
$4,138,706.87
-$2,970,901
$1,167,805.95
SAS
$-
$954,509
$954,509.40
TOR
$-
-$1,425,977
$(1,425,976.52)
WAS
$-
-$7,618,812
$(7,618,811.60)
CLE
$(2,370,365.48)
-$5,256,896
$(7,627,261.00)
DET
$(9,004,169.95)
-$1,403,874
$(10,408,044.07)
DEN
$(9,350,126.84)
-$2,752,448
$(12,102,575.11)
CHA
$-
-$15,161,935
$(15,161,934.74)
UTA
$(7,957,824.72)
-$13,345,712
$(21,303,537.07)
***I used the Excel solver and asked it what standard # of games most accurately reflects money earned in the NBA. This was done by running the following math on each player-season: 2012 Raw Production $ – (x / Games Played) * 2012 Raw Production $ = Difference Solver minimized this difference, and came up with about 68 games.
